Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Minnesota United — St. Louis City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Minnesota United 38%, St. Louis City 36%, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Minnesota United — No. 25, 30 pts; St. Louis City — No. 3, 50 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
- Minnesota United: winless in 5; St. Louis City: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Minnesota United 4 wins, St. Louis City 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Minnesota United — St. Louis City What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Minnesota United not to lose | 64% | |
| St. Louis City not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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- Handicap Minnesota United
- Minnesota United goals
- St. Louis City goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 27.09away · Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 20.09LA Galaxy2:3
- 13.09away · St. Louis City2:4
- 10.09FC Dallas1:2
- 12.10LA Galaxy6:2
- 01.10away · Red Bull New York3:0
- 20.09Toronto FC3:1
- 17.09away · Colorado Rapids3:0
- 13.09Minnesota United4:2
Head to head
- 13.09.2026St. Louis City — Minnesota United4:2
- 27.07.2025St. Louis City — Minnesota United1:2
- 22.05.2025Minnesota United — St. Louis City3:2
- 18.05.2025Minnesota United — St. Louis City3:0
- 20.10.2024Minnesota United — St. Louis City4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →