Swedish Allsvenskan, round 23 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Strandvallen
Mjällby — Degerfors
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Mjällby to win (48%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 48% fails in about 52 matches out of 100 on average.
Mjällby are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mjällby are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mjällby — Degerfors What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Mjällby not to lose | 76% | |
| Degerfors not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mjällby
- Mjällby goals
- Degerfors goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09Hammarby0:1
- 14.09away · Sirius0:2
- 05.09Halmstads BK2:0
- 29.08away · Elfsborg0:2
- 23.08away · Brommapojkarna0:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Degerfors — Mjällby1:4
- 13.09.2025Degerfors — Mjällby0:1
- 27.04.2025Mjällby — Degerfors4:1
- 12.11.2023Degerfors — Mjällby1:2
- 16.04.2023Mjällby — Degerfors2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjällby | 23 | 5 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | -15 | 20 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | -16 | 19 |
Next matches
- MjällbyInter Club d'Escaldes15 October · Conference League4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- DegerforsKalmar FF19 October · Allsvenskan343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 15:6Final score 5:6. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4028321The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →