Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
ML Vitebsk — FC Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ML Vitebsk are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ML Vitebsk are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ML Vitebsk — FC Minsk What is xG? | 2.2–0.7 | |
| ML Vitebsk not to lose | 89% | |
| FC Minsk not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ML Vitebsk
- ML Vitebsk goals
- FC Minsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Gomel5:1
- 18.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5:1
- 13.09away · Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 06.09Din. Minsk0:0
- 02.09Belshina1:1
- 10.10Zhodino0:1
- 18.09away · Belshina0:2
- 11.09Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 06.09away · Naftan3:0
- 30.08away · BATE1:2
Head to head
- 21.06.2026FC Minsk — ML Vitebsk2:2
- 19.10.2025ML Vitebsk — FC Minsk4:1
- 25.05.2025FC Minsk — ML Vitebsk1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- Arsenal DzerzhinskBATEpreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- BaranoviciNaftanpreliminary4925271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Din. MinskNemanpreliminary5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Dnepr MogilevFC Gomelpreliminary2327502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Dynamo BrestVitebskpreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- IslochSlavia Mozyrpreliminary5723191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- ZhodinoBelshinapreliminary6320171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →