Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Dnepr Mogilev — FC Gomel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Gomel are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Gomel are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dnepr Mogilev — FC Gomel What is xG? | 0.9–1.5 | |
| Dnepr Mogilev not to lose | 50% | |
| FC Gomel not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev goals
- FC Gomel goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 20.09away · Dynamo Brest2:4
- 13.09ML Vitebsk1:1
- 06.09away · Baranovici1:2
- 30.08Isloch0:0
- 11.10ML Vitebsk1:5
- 20.09away · Baranovici2:0
- 13.09away · Isloch1:2
- 05.09away · Zhodino2:1
- 28.08Belshina1:0
Head to head
- 20.06.2026FC Gomel — Dnepr Mogilev2:0
- 20.10.2024FC Gomel — Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 27.05.2024Dnepr Mogilev — FC Gomel0:1
- 28.08.2022Dnepr Mogilev — FC Gomel0:4
- 17.04.2022FC Gomel — Dnepr Mogilev3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- Arsenal DzerzhinskBATEpreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- BaranoviciNaftanpreliminary4925271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Din. MinskNemanpreliminary5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Dynamo BrestVitebskpreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- IslochSlavia Mozyrpreliminary5723191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- ML VitebskFC Minskpreliminary6919111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- ZhodinoBelshinapreliminary6320171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →