Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — BATE
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
BATE are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings BATE are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — No. 12, 23 pts; BATE — No. 13, 21 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2 wins, BATE 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — BATE What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk not to lose | 53% | |
| BATE not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk goals
- BATE goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Dynamo Brest0:1
- 18.09away · ML Vitebsk1:5
- 12.09Baranovici0:0
- 07.09away · Isloch1:1
- 30.08Zhodino2:4
- 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1
- 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
- 13.09Naftan2:2
- 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
- 03.09away · Isloch0:2
Head to head
- 21.06.2026BATE — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2:3
- 21.09.2025BATE — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 02.05.2025Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — BATE0:1
- 20.10.2024BATE — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk3:2
- 26.05.2024Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — BATE2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- BaranoviciNaftanpreliminary4926261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Din. MinskNemanpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Dnepr MogilevFC Gomelpreliminary2630442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Dynamo BrestVitebskpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- IslochSlavia Mozyrpreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- ML VitebskFC Minskpreliminary702191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- ZhodinoBelshinapreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →