Belarusian Premier League · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
ML Vitebsk — Zhodino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
ML Vitebsk are clear favourites: 64% against 12% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ML Vitebsk are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: ML Vitebsk — No. 1, 47 pts; Zhodino — No. 9, 30 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- ML Vitebsk: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: ML Vitebsk 1 win, Zhodino 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ML Vitebsk — Zhodino What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| ML Vitebsk not to lose | 88% | |
| Zhodino not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ML Vitebsk
- ML Vitebsk goals
- Zhodino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Gomel5:1
- 18.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5:1
- 13.09away · Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 06.09Din. Minsk0:0
- 02.09Belshina1:1
- 10.10away · FC Minsk1:0
- 20.09away · Vitebsk0:6
- 12.09away · Neman0:1
- 05.09FC Gomel1:2
- 30.08away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk4:2
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Zhodino — ML Vitebsk0:1
- 13.09.2025ML Vitebsk — Zhodino0:1
- 27.04.2025Zhodino — ML Vitebsk1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →