French Ligue 2, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98
Montpellier — Grenoble
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Montpellier to win (55%), came true.
Montpellier are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Montpellier are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montpellier — Grenoble What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Montpellier not to lose | 83% | |
| Grenoble not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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- Handicap Montpellier
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- Grenoble goals
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Form
- 18.09away · Reims1:1
- 11.09Pau1:0
- 05.09away · Saint-Étienne1:3
- 28.08Boulogne0:0
- 21.08away · Dunkerque1:0
- 18.09Clermont Foot1:1
- 11.09away · Rodez1:0
- 04.09Annecy FC1:2
- 28.08away · Laval3:0
- 22.08away · Saint-Étienne0:4
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Montpellier — Grenoble2:1
- 13.12.2025Grenoble — Montpellier1:1
Table
Next matches
- GrenobleBoulogne16 October · Ligue 24132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- RodezMontpellier19 October · Ligue 2352936XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 362935XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.7
- 362934XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:2.2.9
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
- 393229XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →