French Ligue 2, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stade Nouste Camp
Pau — Laval
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Pau to win (50%), came true.
Pau are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pau are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pau — Laval What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Pau not to lose | 77% | |
| Laval not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Laval — Pau0:1
- 23.09.2025Pau — Laval1:0
- 31.01.2025Pau — Laval1:1
- 27.09.2024Laval — Pau3:1
- 20.04.2024Pau — Laval3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dijon | 8 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Pau | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 17, Relegation | Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | -3 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Laval | 8 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
Next matches
- GuingampPau16 October · Ligue 24826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- LavalClermont Foot16 October · Ligue 24229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 362935XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.7
- 5527171The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 362934XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:2.2.9
- 393229XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →