French Ligue 2, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stade Auguste-Bonal
Sochaux — Boulogne
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:1Came true
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), came true.
Sochaux are slightly stronger: 39% against 29%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochaux — Boulogne What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Sochaux not to lose | 71% | |
| Boulogne not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sochaux
- Sochaux goals
- Boulogne goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 18.09away · Laval1:1
- 12.09Nantes1:0
- 04.09away · Pau1:1
- 28.08away · Clermont Foot0:0
- 21.08Guingamp1:0
- 19.09Nantes1:2
- 11.09away · Clermont Foot0:0
- 04.09Dijon1:1
- 28.08away · Montpellier0:0
- 21.08Red Star1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Next matches
- GrenobleBoulogne16 October · Ligue 24132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- MetzSochaux17 October · Ligue 25825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 362935XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.7
- 5527171The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 362934XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:2.2.9
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →