Egyptian Premier League, round 6 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Cairo International Stadium
National Bank — Tala'ea El Gaish
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, National Bank to win (53%), came true.
National Bank are clear favourites: 53% against 18% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings National Bank are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: National Bank 0 wins, Tala'ea El Gaish 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: National Bank — Tala'ea El Gaish What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| National Bank not to lose | 82% | |
| Tala'ea El Gaish not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
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Form
- 14.09away · Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
- 07.09Ghazl Al Mahalla3:1
- 31.08away · Asyut Petroleum1:0
- 26.08Zamalek SC0:3
- 21.08away · Abo Qir Semad0:1
- 14.09Smouha SC0:1
- 07.09away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
- 01.09ZED FC0:1
- 26.08away · Petrojet-Suez3:2
- 22.08Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:0
Head to head
- 09.04.2026Tala'ea El Gaish — National Bank1:0
- 29.08.2025National Bank — Tala'ea El Gaish0:0
- 27.02.2025Tala'ea El Gaish — National Bank2:2
- 17.04.2024National Bank — Tala'ea El Gaish0:1
- 18.09.2023Tala'ea El Gaish — National Bank2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | National Bank | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Mokawloon Al Arab | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Tala'ea El Gaish | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla FC | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Next matches
- Wadi Degla FCNational Bank20 October · Egyptian Premier League343234XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Tala'ea El GaishPyramids FC20 October · Egyptian Premier League1627562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.1
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 403625XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:1.1.5
- 393527XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.1.7
- 323137XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →