Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Niger Tornadoes — Ikorodu City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Niger Tornadoes are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niger Tornadoes — Ikorodu City What is xG? | 1.2–0.7 | |
| Niger Tornadoes not to lose | 78% | |
| Ikorodu City not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Niger Tornadoes
- Niger Tornadoes goals
- Ikorodu City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 04.10Kun Khalifat1:0
- 27.09away · Nasarawa United0:1
- 23.09Warri Wolves FC0:0
- 19.09away · Katsina United0:1
- 10.10Kwara United2:0
- 04.10away · Rivers United FC0:2
- 30.09away · Sporting Lagos0:0
- 27.09Enugu Rangers2:0
- 23.09away · Bendel Insurance1:2
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Ikorodu City — Niger Tornadoes2:0
- 21.09.2025Niger Tornadoes — Ikorodu City4:2
- 13.04.2025Ikorodu City — Niger Tornadoes3:0
- 23.11.2024Niger Tornadoes — Ikorodu City0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6324141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 731791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6821101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →