Super League Greece, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Olympiacos — Kalamata
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Olympiacos are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olympiacos are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Olympiacos — No. 3, 13 pts; Kalamata — No. 10, 7 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Olympiacos: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olympiacos — Kalamata What is xG? | 2.2–0.6 | |
| Olympiacos not to lose | 93% | |
| Kalamata not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Olympiacos
- Olympiacos goals
- Kalamata goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Panathinaikos1:0
- 20.09away · Levadiakos1:0
- 16.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:1
- 12.09OFI Crete0:1
- 05.09away · NFC Volos1:1
- 12.10away · PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
- 20.09Panathinaikos0:1
- 13.09NFC Volos3:1
- 06.09away · Atromitos1:1
- 29.08away · Panetolikos0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 6 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 | Kifisia FC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- NFC VolosPanathinaikospreliminary1122672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Aris ThessalonikiAtromitospreliminary5527171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- OFI CretePAOK Thessalonikipreliminary2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →