Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Once Caldas — Deportivo Pereira
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Once Caldas are clear favourites: 64% against 13% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Once Caldas are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Once Caldas — No. 10, 16 pts; Deportivo Pereira — No. 20, 9 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Once Caldas 2 wins, Deportivo Pereira 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Once Caldas — Deportivo Pereira What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 87% | |
| Deportivo Pereira not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Once Caldas
- Once Caldas goals
- Deportivo Pereira goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 05.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 26.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 20.09away · Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 17.09Tolima1:0
- 10.10Deportivo Cali0:0
- 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
- 29.09Santa Fe1:2
- 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
- 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Deportivo Pereira — Once Caldas0:0
- 06.09.2025Once Caldas — Deportivo Pereira1:0
- 03.08.2025Deportivo Pereira — Once Caldas2:1
- 23.03.2025Deportivo Pereira — Once Caldas1:1
- 20.02.2025Once Caldas — Deportivo Pereira3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | -10 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Alianza FCInternacional de Bogotápreliminary4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- América de CaliCúcutapreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
- Fortaleza FCDeportivo Calipreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →