Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Orduspor 1967 — Van Spor Kulübü

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Model prediction for 27 October

Orduspor 196739%
Draw27%
Van Spor Kulübü34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Orduspor 1967 39%, Van Spor Kulübü 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orduspor 1967 — Van Spor Kulübü What is xG?1.4–1.3
Orduspor 1967 not to lose66%
Van Spor Kulübü not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Orduspor 1967
  • Orduspor 1967 goals
  • Van Spor Kulübü goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Orduspor 1967

  • 04.12away · Iğdır FK2:3
  • 29.10Erbaaspor4:2

Van Spor Kulübü

  • 03.12away · Trabzonspor0:2
  • 28.10away · Fatsa Belediyespor3:3
  • 17.12away · Rizespor0:6
  • 04.12away · Bursaspor2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →