Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio 9 de Mayo Banco de Machala
Orense — Deportivo Cuenca
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Orense to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Orense are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orense are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Orense 4 wins, Deportivo Cuenca 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orense — Deportivo Cuenca What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Orense not to lose | 72% | |
| Deportivo Cuenca not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Orense
- Orense goals
- Deportivo Cuenca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 21.09away · Manta1:2
- 15.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:2
- 08.09Guayaquil City4:3
- 04.09away · Leones del Norte0:1
- 30.08CSD Macará1:2
- 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
- 13.09away · LDU de Quito1:1
- 07.09Libertad (ECU)0:1
- 03.09Guayaquil City1:0
- 29.08away · Técnico Universitario1:3
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Orense — Deportivo Cuenca2:0
- 22.04.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Orense1:3
- 31.08.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Orense1:1
- 10.05.2025Orense — Deportivo Cuenca1:0
- 10.08.2024Deportivo Cuenca — Orense1:2
Next matches
- Deportivo CuencaTécnico Universitario16 October · LigaPro Serie A5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Mushuc RunaOrense19 October · LigaPro Serie A4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 4429271The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 5126231The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →