Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK
Pamba Jiji — Geita Gold FC
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4:0Missed
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (29%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 29% fails in about 71 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Pamba Jiji 34%, Geita Gold FC 37%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Pamba Jiji: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pamba Jiji — Geita Gold FC What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Pamba Jiji not to lose | 63% | |
| Geita Gold FC not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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- Handicap Pamba Jiji
- Pamba Jiji goals
- Geita Gold FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.09TRA United1:3
- 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
- 28.08away · Young Africans0:2
- 23.08away · Azam FC1:2
- 19.08Simba SC1:2
- 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
- 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
- 28.08Azam FC2:2
- 22.08Kagera Sugar6:2
- 18.08away · Namungo FC0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold FC | 7 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
Next matches
- Fountain Gate FCPamba Jiji16 October · Tanzania Premier League343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- Geita Gold FCDodoma Jiji FC16 October · Tanzania Premier League5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 363232XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.1.9
- 4131281The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →