Super League Greece, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Panathinaikos — AEK Athens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Panathinaikos 37%, AEK Athens 32%, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Panathinaikos — AEK Athens What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Panathinaikos not to lose | 68% | |
| AEK Athens not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos goals
- AEK Athens goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Olympiacos0:1
- 20.09away · Kalamata1:0
- 13.09Panetolikos3:0
- 10.09Kifisia FC3:1
- 06.09PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
- 10.10OFI Crete3:0
- 20.09away · NFC Volos2:1
- 13.09away · Asteras Tripolis1:1
- 08.09LASK1:0
- 05.09Aris Thessaloniki5:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026AEK Athens — Panathinaikos2:1
- 03.05.2026Panathinaikos — AEK Athens0:0
- 18.01.2026AEK Athens — Panathinaikos4:0
- 30.11.2025Panathinaikos — AEK Athens2:3
- 04.05.2025AEK Athens — Panathinaikos1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- LevadiakosAris Thessalonikipreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- PanetolikosOFI Cretepreliminary363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- PAOK ThessalonikiAsteras Tripolispreliminary781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →