Super League Greece, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki

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Model prediction for 1 November

Levadiakos43%
Draw29%
Aris Thessaloniki28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Levadiakos are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki What is xG?1.5–1.2
Levadiakos not to lose72%
Aris Thessaloniki not to lose57%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Levadiakos
  • Levadiakos goals
  • Aris Thessaloniki goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Levadiakos

  • 11.10away · Iraklis0:2
  • 20.09Olympiacos0:1
  • 13.09away · Kifisia FC0:0
  • 06.09Panetolikos0:2
  • 31.08Panathinaikos0:2

Aris Thessaloniki

  • 11.10NFC Volos3:2
  • 19.09Iraklis0:0
  • 13.09away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:2
  • 05.09away · AEK Athens0:5
  • 30.08OFI Crete2:1

Head to head

  • 17.05.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Levadiakos3:0
  • 05.04.2026Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
  • 25.01.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Levadiakos2:2
  • 26.10.2025Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
  • 16.02.2025Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5OFI Crete63128–7+110
6Aris Thessaloniki63128–12-410
7Iraklis62316–609
13NFC Volos60246–12-62
14Levadiakos60150–11-111

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →