Super League Greece, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
PAOK Thessaloniki — Asteras Tripolis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
PAOK Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PAOK Thessaloniki are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: PAOK Thessaloniki — No. 4, 12 pts; Asteras Tripolis — No. 11, 5 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: PAOK Thessaloniki 4 wins, Asteras Tripolis 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PAOK Thessaloniki — Asteras Tripolis What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| PAOK Thessaloniki not to lose | 92% | |
| Asteras Tripolis not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap PAOK Thessaloniki
- PAOK Thessaloniki goals
- Asteras Tripolis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Kalamata1:3
- 20.09away · Panetolikos3:1
- 13.09Aris Thessaloniki2:0
- 06.09away · Panathinaikos1:3
- 30.08away · Atromitos2:1
- 10.10Atromitos2:1
- 20.09away · OFI Crete2:2
- 13.09AEK Athens1:1
- 07.09Iraklis0:2
- 30.08Olympiacos0:1
Head to head
- 01.03.2026PAOK Thessaloniki — Asteras Tripolis2:0
- 28.09.2025Asteras Tripolis — PAOK Thessaloniki3:3
- 02.03.2025PAOK Thessaloniki — Asteras Tripolis2:0
- 24.11.2024Asteras Tripolis — PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 17.12.2023Asteras Tripolis — PAOK Thessaloniki1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 6 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- LevadiakosAris Thessalonikipreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
- PanetolikosOFI Cretepreliminary333236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- PanathinaikosAEK Athenspreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →