Super League Greece, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 74% against 8% for the opponent, draw 18%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Panathinaikos are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis What is xG? | 2.1–0.7 | |
| Panathinaikos not to lose | 92% | |
| Asteras Tripolis not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos goals
- Asteras Tripolis goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Olympiacos0:1
- 20.09away · Kalamata1:0
- 13.09Panetolikos3:0
- 10.09Kifisia FC3:1
- 06.09PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
- 10.10Atromitos2:1
- 20.09away · OFI Crete2:2
- 13.09AEK Athens1:1
- 07.09Iraklis0:2
- 30.08Olympiacos0:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Asteras Tripolis — Panathinaikos1:2
- 26.10.2025Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis2:0
- 08.12.2024Asteras Tripolis — Panathinaikos0:1
- 18.08.2024Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis0:1
- 21.01.2024Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | +13 | 14 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 924672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 363233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- 771671The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →