Super League Greece, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
PAOK Thessaloniki — Iraklis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
PAOK Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 75% against 8% for the opponent, draw 17%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PAOK Thessaloniki are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: PAOK Thessaloniki — No. 4, 12 pts; Iraklis — No. 7, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Iraklis: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PAOK Thessaloniki — Iraklis What is xG? | 2.2–0.6 | |
| PAOK Thessaloniki not to lose | 92% | |
| Iraklis not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap PAOK Thessaloniki
- PAOK Thessaloniki goals
- Iraklis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Kalamata1:3
- 20.09away · Panetolikos3:1
- 13.09Aris Thessaloniki2:0
- 06.09away · Panathinaikos1:3
- 30.08away · Atromitos2:1
- 11.10Levadiakos2:0
- 19.09away · Aris Thessaloniki0:0
- 12.09Atromitos1:1
- 07.09away · Asteras Tripolis2:0
- 29.08away · NFC Volos1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 6 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 1226622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- 791551The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →