Super League Greece, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Kifisia FC — Aris Thessaloniki

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Model prediction for 18 October

Kifisia FC36%
Draw32%
Aris Thessaloniki33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Kifisia FC 36%, Aris Thessaloniki 33%, draw 32%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Aris Thessaloniki are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kifisia FC — Aris Thessaloniki What is xG?1.3–1.2
Kifisia FC not to lose67%
Aris Thessaloniki not to lose64%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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  • Handicap Kifisia FC
  • Kifisia FC goals
  • Aris Thessaloniki goals
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Form

Kifisia FC

  • 11.10Panetolikos2:0
  • 19.09away · Atromitos2:1
  • 13.09Levadiakos0:0
  • 10.09away · Panathinaikos1:3
  • 06.09away · OFI Crete0:2

Aris Thessaloniki

  • 11.10NFC Volos3:2
  • 19.09Iraklis0:0
  • 13.09away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:2
  • 05.09away · AEK Athens0:5
  • 30.08OFI Crete2:1

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC1:1
  • 20.09.2025Kifisia FC — Aris Thessaloniki0:1
  • 27.01.2024Kifisia FC — Aris Thessaloniki0:1
  • 01.10.2023Aris Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC1:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5OFI Crete63128–7+110
6Aris Thessaloniki63128–12-410
7Iraklis62316–609
8Panetolikos63038–9-19
9Kifisia FC62226–7-18
10Kalamata62139–907

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →