Ligue 1, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Mans
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Paris Saint-Germain to win (79%), came true.
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: 79% against 8% for the opponent, draw 13%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Paris Saint-Germain are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paris Saint-Germain — Le Mans What is xG? | 2.8–1.0 | |
| Paris Saint-Germain not to lose | 92% | |
| Le Mans not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 74% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 26% |
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- Le Mans goals
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Form
- 20.09away · Marseille2:1
- 13.09away · Brest1:0
- 09.09Slovan Bratislava6:1
- 04.09Monaco1:2
- 28.08away · Lille2:2
Head to head
- 04.02.2025Le Mans — Paris Saint-Germain0:2
Table
Next matches
- Manchester CityParis Saint-Germain14 October · Champions League5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Le MansToulouse16 October · Ligue 13328392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 6621131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 5425211The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 3226412The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
- 5724191The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →