Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Philadelphia Union are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Philadelphia Union are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Philadelphia Union — No. 12, 42 pts; Charlotte FC — No. 8, 46 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Philadelphia Union: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Union 1 win, Charlotte FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC What is xG? | 2.2–1.2 | |
| Philadelphia Union not to lose | 83% | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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- Handicap Philadelphia Union
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- Charlotte FC goals
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Form
- 11.10Real Salt Lake2:1
- 27.09Orlando City4:2
- 20.09away · Sporting Kansas City4:3
- 14.09away · San Diego FC5:0
- 10.09FC Cincinnati5:0
- 11.10FC Dallas3:2
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union2:1
- 19.10.2025Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union2:0
- 15.06.2025Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC2:1
- 23.06.2024Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC0:2
- 26.05.2024Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
MLS on the same day
- 3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →