Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Plateau United — Kano Pillars
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:0Came true
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, Plateau United to win (63%), came true.
Plateau United are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Plateau United are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plateau United — Kano Pillars What is xG? | 1.6–0.6 | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 86% | |
| Kano Pillars not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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- Handicap Plateau United
- Plateau United goals
- Kano Pillars goals
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Form
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 27.09Inter Lagos2:0
- 23.09away · Doma United2:2
- 20.09Shooting Stars3:1
- 14.09away · Niger Tornadoes1:1
- 07.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 03.10Sporting Lagos1:1
- 27.09Enyimba0:0
- 23.09away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 20.09Doma United4:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Plateau United — Kano Pillars1:0
- 21.12.2025Kano Pillars — Plateau United2:1
- 22.03.2025Plateau United — Kano Pillars2:1
- 03.11.2024Kano Pillars — Plateau United2:1
- 15.06.2024Plateau United — Kano Pillars1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Next matches
- Plateau UnitedSporting Lagos18 October · Nigeria NPFL6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Kano PillarsKatsina United18 October · Nigeria NPFL6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 4231281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5029211The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5825181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6621131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 5227221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 6822101The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →