Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Kun Khalifat — Shooting Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kun Khalifat to win (58%), came true.
Kun Khalifat are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kun Khalifat are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kun Khalifat — Shooting Stars What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Kun Khalifat not to lose | 82% | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kun Khalifat
- Kun Khalifat goals
- Shooting Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
- 27.09Kwara United1:0
- 24.09away · Rivers United FC0:5
- 20.09Enugu Rangers2:4
- 13.09away · Bendel Insurance2:4
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 04.10Nasarawa United0:0
- 30.09away · Enyimba2:4
- 27.09away · Warri Wolves FC0:1
- 23.09Katsina United2:0
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Kun Khalifat — Shooting Stars2:0
- 21.09.2025Shooting Stars — Kun Khalifat2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
Next matches
- Doma UnitedKun Khalifat17 October · Nigeria NPFL5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Shooting StarsRanchers Bees18 October · Nigeria NPFL5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 4231281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5029211The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 6621131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6323141The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5227221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 6822101The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →