Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Abia Warriors — Rivers United FC
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0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Abia Warriors to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Abia Warriors are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 31%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Rivers United FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Abia Warriors 2 wins, Rivers United FC 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abia Warriors — Rivers United FC What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Abia Warriors not to lose | 72% | |
| Rivers United FC not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 28% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors goals
- Rivers United FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Enugu Rangers1:3
- 27.09Bendel Insurance3:0
- 23.09away · Barau0:2
- 20.09away · Sporting Lagos2:0
- 13.09Ikorodu City2:2
- 04.10Ikorodu City2:0
- 30.09away · Katsina United1:1
- 28.09away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 24.09Kun Khalifat5:0
- 20.09away · Nasarawa United1:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Rivers United FC — Abia Warriors3:0
- 07.12.2025Abia Warriors — Rivers United FC1:1
- 13.04.2025Abia Warriors — Rivers United FC2:0
- 24.11.2024Rivers United FC — Abia Warriors1:0
- 15.05.2024Abia Warriors — Rivers United FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Next matches
- Kwara UnitedAbia Warriors18 October · Nigeria NPFL6324131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Rivers United FCBarau18 October · Nigeria NPFL6921101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 5029211The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5825181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6621131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6323141The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5227221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 6822101The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →