Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Plateau United — Sporting Lagos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Plateau United are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Plateau United are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plateau United — Sporting Lagos What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 89% | |
| Sporting Lagos not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Plateau United
- Plateau United goals
- Sporting Lagos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 27.09Inter Lagos2:0
- 23.09away · Doma United2:2
- 20.09Shooting Stars3:1
- 11.10Bendel Insurance2:1
- 03.10away · Kano Pillars1:1
- 30.09Ikorodu City0:0
- 26.09Barau1:1
- 23.09away · Enyimba3:2
Head to head
- 12.06.2024Sporting Lagos — Plateau United1:2
- 28.12.2023Plateau United — Sporting Lagos1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6324141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 731791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6821101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →