Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ponte Preta — Atlético-GO
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Atlético-GO are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético-GO are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ponte Preta — Atlético-GO What is xG? | 0.8–1.8 | |
| Ponte Preta not to lose | 38% | |
| Atlético-GO not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta goals
- Atlético-GO goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Novorizontino1:5
- 07.10Juventude0:2
- 03.10away · Cuiabá0:2
- 30.09away · Botafogo SP0:2
- 20.09CRB1:0
- 11.10Sport Recife1:1
- 08.10away · CRB1:3
- 03.10América-MG2:0
- 27.09away · Goiás1:0
- 19.09away · São Bernardo0:1
Head to head
- 28.06.2026Atlético-GO — Ponte Preta2:0
- 19.03.2026Atlético-GO — Ponte Preta1:0
- 15.10.2023Ponte Preta — Atlético-GO0:2
- 24.06.2023Atlético-GO — Ponte Preta1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
| 19, Relegation | América-MG | 33 | 4 | -33 | 17 |
| 20, Relegation | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | -55 | 13 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →