Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ceará — Juventude
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Ceará 34%, Juventude 36%, draw 30%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ceará — Juventude What is xG? | 1.0–1.0 | |
| Ceará not to lose | 64% | |
| Juventude not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ceará
- Ceará goals
- Juventude goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Botafogo SP0:1
- 09.10Criciúma1:0
- 03.10away · Avaí1:0
- 26.09away · Operário-PR2:2
- 19.09Novorizontino2:1
- 11.10São Bernardo2:2
- 07.10away · Ponte Preta2:0
- 03.10Operário-PR3:0
- 29.09away · América-MG1:0
- 19.09away · Sport Recife1:2
Head to head
- 28.06.2026Juventude — Ceará2:0
- 30.08.2025Ceará — Juventude0:1
- 12.04.2025Juventude — Ceará2:1
- 25.11.2023Ceará — Juventude1:3
- 23.07.2023Juventude — Ceará1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | +31 | 60 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →