Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Sport Recife — Fortaleza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Sport Recife are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sport Recife are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Recife — Fortaleza What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Sport Recife not to lose | 73% | |
| Fortaleza not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- Handicap Sport Recife
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- Fortaleza goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Atlético-GO1:1
- 07.10São Bernardo2:1
- 02.10away · Athletic Club MG2:1
- 26.09away · Náutico1:3
- 19.09Juventude2:1
- 12.10CRB2:2
- 08.10away · América-MG1:0
- 03.10Náutico1:1
- 28.09Athletic Club MG2:2
- 21.09away · Londrina2:1
Head to head
- 29.06.2026Fortaleza — Sport Recife2:1
- 27.09.2025Fortaleza — Sport Recife1:0
- 27.04.2025Sport Recife — Fortaleza0:0
- 27.09.2021Sport Recife — Fortaleza0:1
- 14.06.2021Fortaleza — Sport Recife1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 33 | 13 | -1 | 48 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →