Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids

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Model prediction for 18 October

Portland Timbers40%
Draw28%
Colorado Rapids32%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Portland Timbers are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Portland Timbers — No. 20, 33 pts; Colorado Rapids — No. 14, 37 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Portland Timbers: winless in 5; Colorado Rapids: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Portland Timbers 3 wins, Colorado Rapids 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids What is xG?1.6–1.4
Portland Timbers not to lose68%
Colorado Rapids not to lose60%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes65%
Both teams to score: no35%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Portland Timbers
  • Portland Timbers goals
  • Colorado Rapids goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Portland Timbers

  • 11.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:3
  • 27.09away · San Jose Earthquakes1:3
  • 20.09Atlanta United0:1
  • 13.09away · FC Dallas1:2
  • 10.09St. Louis City2:2

Colorado Rapids

  • 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
  • 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
  • 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
  • 17.09St. Louis City0:3
  • 13.09CF Montréal1:0

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers2:0
  • 29.05.2025Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids2:1
  • 23.03.2025Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers0:3
  • 15.09.2024Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers2:1
  • 25.02.2024Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids4:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceSeattle Sounders FC28118938–35+341
14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff placeColorado Rapids281141339–39037
15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceOrlando City281141351–66-1537
19New York City FC28891142–38+433
20Portland Timbers28961351–54-333
21San Diego FC28881248–51-332

Season 2026

Full table

MLS on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →