EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Preston North End 32%, West Bromwich Albion 38%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Bromwich Albion are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Preston North End not to lose | 62% | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Handicap Preston North End
- Preston North End goals
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10away · Birmingham City0:4
- 10.10Millwall0:1
- 19.09away · Queens Park Rangers2:2
- 12.09Lincoln City0:1
- 08.09away · Watford1:2
- 13.10away · Wrexham2:1
- 10.10Birmingham City0:1
- 20.09away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 12.09Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 09.09away · Derby County1:0
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion0:2
- 18.10.2025West Bromwich Albion — Preston North End2:1
- 01.01.2025West Bromwich Albion — Preston North End3:1
- 30.11.2024Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 04.05.2024West Bromwich Albion — Preston North End3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 23, Relegation | Derby County | 9 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 24, Relegation | Preston North End | 10 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
Championship on the same day
- Charlton AthleticNorwich Citypreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Blackburn RoversWrexhampreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- Lincoln CityBurnleypreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Queens Park RangersSwansea Citypreliminary4029321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Stoke CityBristol Citypreliminary363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →