Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Racing Club — Independiente
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Racing Club are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Club — Independiente What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 73% | |
| Independiente not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Racing Club
- Racing Club goals
- Independiente goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Belgrano0:2
- 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
- 19.09Sarmiento3:1
- 14.09away · Huracán1:2
- 12.10away · Talleres0:0
- 03.10Instituto1:4
- 19.09away · Unión2:1
- 14.09San Lorenzo1:1
- 06.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Independiente — Racing Club1:0
- 28.09.2025Racing Club — Independiente0:0
- 16.03.2025Independiente — Racing Club1:1
- 25.08.2024Racing Club — Independiente0:0
- 16.04.2023Independiente — Racing Club1:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →