Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Radomiak Radom — Śląsk Wrocław

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Model prediction for 2 November

Radomiak Radom41%
Draw29%
Śląsk Wrocław31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Radomiak Radom are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 29%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Radomiak Radom — Śląsk Wrocław What is xG?1.7–1.5
Radomiak Radom not to lose69%
Śląsk Wrocław not to lose59%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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Form

Radomiak Radom

  • 12.10Motor Lublin2:3
  • 20.09away · Lech Poznań1:5
  • 14.09Piast Gliwice0:2
  • 05.09away · Widzew Łódź0:0
  • 29.08Cracovia2:1

Śląsk Wrocław

  • 10.10Lech Poznań1:4
  • 18.09away · Wisła Kraków1:2
  • 12.09Korona Kielce1:2
  • 06.09away · Jagiellonia Białystok1:2
  • 28.08away · Legia Warszawa1:1

Head to head

  • 08.02.2025Radomiak Radom — Śląsk Wrocław1:1
  • 14.12.2024Śląsk Wrocław — Radomiak Radom1:2
  • 18.05.2024Śląsk Wrocław — Radomiak Radom2:0
  • 27.11.2023Radomiak Radom — Śląsk Wrocław0:1
  • 30.04.2023Śląsk Wrocław — Radomiak Radom0:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
15Wieczysta Kraków1022615–19-48
16, RelegationRadomiak Radom102269–23-148
17, RelegationŚląsk Wrocław1013612–19-76
18, RelegationRaków Częstochowa1010913–25-123

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ekstraklasa on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →