Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Zagłębie Lubin — Korona Kielce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zagłębie Lubin are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zagłębie Lubin — Korona Kielce What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin not to lose | 69% | |
| Korona Kielce not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zagłębie Lubin
- Zagłębie Lubin goals
- Korona Kielce goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Cracovia1:3
- 20.09Wisła Płock0:2
- 15.09away · Raków Częstochowa3:2
- 12.09GKS Katowice2:1
- 07.09away · Wieczysta Kraków1:1
- 11.10away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 19.09Raków Częstochowa3:2
- 15.09Górnik Zabrze0:2
- 12.09away · Śląsk Wrocław2:1
- 05.09Wisła Kraków1:1
Head to head
- 06.02.2026Korona Kielce — Zagłębie Lubin1:2
- 01.08.2025Zagłębie Lubin — Korona Kielce1:1
- 16.03.2025Zagłębie Lubin — Korona Kielce1:1
- 15.09.2024Korona Kielce — Zagłębie Lubin2:0
- 03.03.2024Zagłębie Lubin — Korona Kielce1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Radomiak RadomŚląsk Wrocławpreliminary4129311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecinpreliminary3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →