Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Real Ávila — Unionistas de Salamanca

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Model prediction for 29 October

Real Ávila28%
Draw26%
Unionistas de Salamanca46%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Unionistas de Salamanca are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Unionistas de Salamanca are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Real Ávila — Unionistas de Salamanca What is xG?1.2–1.6
Real Ávila not to lose54%
Unionistas de Salamanca not to lose72%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Real Ávila
  • Real Ávila goals
  • Unionistas de Salamanca goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Real Ávila

  • 04.12Rayo Vallecano1:2
  • 30.10Real Avilés CF1:0
  • 03.12Real Valladolid2:4
  • 31.10Real Oviedo0:0

Unionistas de Salamanca

  • 04.12Rayo Vallecano2:3
  • 30.10away · Utebo4:0
  • 18.01Barcelona1:3
  • 08.01Villarreal1:1
  • 06.12Sporting Gijón2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →