Segunda Division, round 10 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Real Sociedad B — Almería
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Almería are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Almería are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Real Sociedad B — No. 19, 8 pts; Almería — No. 1, 21 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Real Sociedad B: 4 defeats in a row; Almería: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Real Sociedad B 0 wins, Almería 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Sociedad B — Almería What is xG? | 1.3–1.7 | |
| Real Sociedad B not to lose | 54% | |
| Almería not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap Real Sociedad B
- Real Sociedad B goals
- Almería goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
- 04.10Granada2:3
- 26.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:3
- 19.09Mallorca0:1
- 12.09away · FC Andorra3:1
- 11.10Leganés3:0
- 03.10Burgos CF2:1
- 27.09away · Mallorca1:0
- 20.09Celta Fortuna2:0
- 12.09away · Córdoba2:0
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Almería — Real Sociedad B5:1
- 29.08.2025Real Sociedad B — Almería2:2
- 13.05.2022Real Sociedad B — Almería0:2
- 21.10.2021Almería — Real Sociedad B3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Almería | 9 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Promotion | Eibar | 9 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 2728442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →