La Liga, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio Municipal de Anoeta
Real Sociedad — Deportivo A Coruña
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Real Sociedad to win (56%), came true.
Real Sociedad are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Sociedad are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Sociedad — Deportivo A Coruña What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Real Sociedad not to lose | 82% | |
| Deportivo A Coruña not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad goals
- Deportivo A Coruña goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Valencia3:2
- 17.09AFC Bournemouth1:2
- 13.09Atlético Madrid0:3
- 07.09away · Elche3:2
- 03.09Celta Vigo0:0
- 20.09Real Betis1:1
- 16.09Sevilla0:1
- 13.09away · Getafe1:1
- 05.09away · Villarreal3:2
- 30.08Valencia3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
Next matches
- Union St.GilloiseReal Sociedad15 October · Europa League4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Deportivo A CoruñaLevante16 October · La Liga4928241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
La Liga on the same day
- 333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
- 5627171The most likely outcome came true: 15:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 3929321The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →