French Ligue 2, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Reims — Dijon

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Model prediction for 16 October

Reims52%
Draw25%
Dijon23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Reims are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 69%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Reims are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Reims — Dijon What is xG?2.2–1.4
Reims not to lose77%
Dijon not to lose48%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes69%
Both teams to score: no31%
Total over 2.569%
Total under 2.531%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Reims
  • Reims goals
  • Dijon goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Reims

  • 10.10away · Nantes0:0
  • 18.09Montpellier1:1
  • 11.09away · Nancy2:1
  • 05.09Guingamp2:2
  • 29.08away · Red Star4:1

Dijon

  • 12.10Metz4:2
  • 18.09away · Annecy FC2:1
  • 11.09Laval3:2
  • 04.09away · Boulogne1:1
  • 31.08Saint-Étienne2:3

Head to head

  • 21.03.2021Dijon — Reims0:1
  • 06.01.2021Reims — Dijon0:0
  • 28.09.2019Reims — Dijon1:2
  • 09.03.2019Dijon — Reims1:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsMontpellier84318–5+315
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
7Dijon833214–12+212
8Pau83239–8+111

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →