UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Roazhon Park
Rennes — OFI Crete
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Rennes are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rennes are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rennes — OFI Crete What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Rennes not to lose | 91% | |
| OFI Crete not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rennes
- Rennes goals
- OFI Crete goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Auxerre4:1
- 19.09away · Lyon0:4
- 16.09away · Sturm Graz0:0
- 11.09Marseille1:0
- 06.09away · Angers2:1
- 10.10away · AEK Athens0:3
- 20.09Asteras Tripolis2:2
- 17.09Hoffenheim2:0
- 12.09away · Olympiacos1:0
- 06.09Kifisia FC2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Straight to the round of 16 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →