Ligue 1, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Rennes — Strasbourg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rennes are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rennes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rennes — Strasbourg What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Rennes not to lose | 75% | |
| Strasbourg not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Rennes goals
- Strasbourg goals
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Form
- 11.10Auxerre4:1
- 19.09away · Lyon0:4
- 16.09away · Sturm Graz0:0
- 11.09Marseille1:0
- 06.09away · Angers2:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Strasbourg — Rennes0:3
- 02.11.2025Rennes — Strasbourg4:1
- 02.02.2025Rennes — Strasbourg1:0
- 25.08.2024Strasbourg — Rennes3:1
- 31.03.2024Strasbourg — Rennes2:0
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- MonacoLillepreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AngersLorientpreliminary3128422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- AuxerreLe Manspreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- MarseilleLe Havrepreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Paris Saint-GermainLyonpreliminary7416101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →