Ligue 1, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Angers — Lorient
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lorient are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lorient are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Angers — Lorient What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Angers not to lose | 58% | |
| Lorient not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- Lorient goals
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Form
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Lorient — Angers2:0
- 26.10.2025Angers — Lorient2:0
- 05.02.2023Lorient — Angers0:0
- 01.01.2023Angers — Lorient1:2
- 16.01.2022Lorient — Angers0:0
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- MonacoLillepreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AuxerreLe Manspreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- MarseilleLe Havrepreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- RennesStrasbourgpreliminary5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Paris Saint-GermainLyonpreliminary7416101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →