Ligue 1, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Auxerre — Le Mans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Auxerre 37%, Le Mans 36%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Auxerre — Le Mans What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Auxerre not to lose | 64% | |
| Le Mans not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Auxerre
- Auxerre goals
- Le Mans goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Paris Saint-Germain1:3
- 19.09Lorient2:1
- 13.09Lens2:2
- 05.09away · Nice1:1
- 30.08away · Rennes2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- MonacoLillepreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AngersLorientpreliminary3128422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- MarseilleLe Havrepreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- RennesStrasbourgpreliminary5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Paris Saint-GermainLyonpreliminary7416101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →