Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Rubio Ñú — Guaraní

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Model prediction for 29 October

Rubio Ñú22%
Draw30%
Guaraní48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Guaraní are clear favourites: 48% against 22% for the opponent, draw 30%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Guaraní are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rubio Ñú — Guaraní What is xG?0.8–1.3
Rubio Ñú not to lose52%
Guaraní not to lose78%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes43%
Both teams to score: no57%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Rubio Ñú
  • Rubio Ñú goals
  • Guaraní goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rubio Ñú

  • 11.10Olimpia0:0
  • 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1
  • 26.092 de Mayo2:2
  • 20.09away · Cerro Porteño0:1
  • 14.09Nacional (PAR)0:1

Guaraní

  • 12.10away · Libertad2:2
  • 03.10Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
  • 25.09away · Luqueño1:0
  • 18.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:0
  • 12.09Cerro Porteño1:1

Head to head

  • 15.08.2026Guaraní — Rubio Ñú2:3
  • 02.04.2026Rubio Ñú — Guaraní0:2
  • 02.02.2026Guaraní — Rubio Ñú4:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →