Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Sportivo San Lorenzo — Cerro Porteño
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cerro Porteño are clear favourites: 65% against 12% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cerro Porteño are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sportivo San Lorenzo: winless in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 wins, Cerro Porteño 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo San Lorenzo — Cerro Porteño What is xG? | 0.5–1.7 | |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo not to lose | 35% | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo goals
- Cerro Porteño goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Sportivo Trinidense1:1
- 03.10away · Guaraní1:1
- 28.09Recoleta0:0
- 20.09Olimpia0:3
- 11.09away · Sportivo Ameliano0:1
- 11.10away · Luqueño3:0
- 06.102 de Mayo0:2
- 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
- 12.09away · Guaraní1:1
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Cerro Porteño — Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
- 29.03.2026Cerro Porteño — Sportivo San Lorenzo2:0
- 28.01.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — Cerro Porteño2:4
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Nacional (PAR)Sportivo Trinidensepreliminary4829221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Rubio ÑúGuaranípreliminary2230482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- Sportivo AmelianoOlimpiapreliminary2630442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →