Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Sportivo Ameliano — Olimpia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Olimpia are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olimpia are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 4; Olimpia: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Ameliano 0 wins, Olimpia 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Ameliano — Olimpia What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 56% | |
| Olimpia not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Olimpia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
- 26.09away · Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 19.09away · Libertad1:1
- 11.09Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
- 11.10away · Rubio Ñú0:0
- 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 29.09away · Libertad1:0
- 20.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:0
- 13.09Luqueño3:0
Head to head
- 17.08.2026Olimpia — Sportivo Ameliano2:1
- 03.05.2026Olimpia — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 01.03.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Olimpia0:1
- 05.10.2025Olimpia — Sportivo Ameliano2:1
- 27.07.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Olimpia1:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Sportivo San LorenzoCerro Porteñopreliminary1224652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- Nacional (PAR)Sportivo Trinidensepreliminary4829221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Rubio ÑúGuaranípreliminary2230482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →