Paraguayan Primera Division · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio La Arboleda
Rubio Ñú — Olimpia
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Olimpia to win (57%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.
Olimpia are clear favourites: 57% against 17% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olimpia are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubio Ñú — Olimpia What is xG? | 0.9–1.7 | |
| Rubio Ñú not to lose | 43% | |
| Olimpia not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rubio Ñú
- Rubio Ñú goals
- Olimpia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1
- 26.092 de Mayo2:2
- 20.09away · Cerro Porteño0:1
- 14.09Nacional (PAR)0:1
- 06.09away · Libertad2:4
- 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 29.09away · Libertad1:0
- 20.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:0
- 13.09Luqueño3:0
- 06.09away · Sportivo Trinidense2:1
Head to head
- 02.08.2026Olimpia — Rubio Ñú5:0
- 13.04.2026Rubio Ñú — Olimpia0:2
- 15.02.2026Olimpia — Rubio Ñú0:0
Next matches
- RecoletaRubio Ñú17 October · Paraguayan Primera4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Olimpia2 de Mayo22 October · Paraguayan Primera · preliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 2128512The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →