Paraguayan Primera Division · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Recoleta — Rubio Ñú

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Model prediction for 17 October

Recoleta48%
Draw27%
Rubio Ñú25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Recoleta are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Recoleta — Rubio Ñú What is xG?1.7–1.2
Recoleta not to lose75%
Rubio Ñú not to lose52%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Recoleta
  • Recoleta goals
  • Rubio Ñú goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Recoleta

  • 13.10away · Nacional (PAR)0:1
  • 05.10Libertad1:2
  • 28.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo0:0
  • 21.09away · Luqueño0:1
  • 13.09Sportivo Trinidense1:3

Rubio Ñú

  • 11.10Olimpia0:0
  • 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1
  • 26.092 de Mayo2:2
  • 20.09away · Cerro Porteño0:1
  • 14.09Nacional (PAR)0:1

Head to head

  • 08.08.2026Rubio Ñú — Recoleta1:3
  • 27.03.2026Recoleta — Rubio Ñú1:0
  • 30.01.2026Rubio Ñú — Recoleta1:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →