Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo

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Model prediction for 28 October

Salamanca CF UDS5%
Draw11%
Celta Vigo84%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Celta Vigo are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo What is xG?0.6–3.0
Salamanca CF UDS not to lose16%
Celta Vigo not to lose95%
No draw89%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.570%
Total under 2.530%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Salamanca CF UDS
  • Salamanca CF UDS goals
  • Celta Vigo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Salamanca CF UDS

  • 03.12Celta Vigo0:7
  • 30.10Alcorcón1:0

Celta Vigo

  • 11.10away · Elche0:0
  • 19.09Racing Santander5:0
  • 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
  • 13.09Málaga1:1
  • 07.09away · Getafe1:1

Head to head

  • 03.12.2024Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo0:7

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
  • Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →